Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.979222e+00 2.380135 2.812539 3.310388 3.864595 4.459571 5.143552
2025-02-02 1.400956e+00 1.936002 2.564121 3.341824 4.265002 5.312813 6.578802
2025-02-09 9.524483e-01 1.526283 2.260592 3.234375 4.458074 5.913492 7.743618
2025-02-16 6.496561e-01 1.218383 2.012439 3.135676 4.620412 6.457718 8.844607
2025-02-23 4.665684e-01 1.023977 1.869412 3.135813 4.882682 7.114939 10.090152
2025-03-02 3.202545e-01 0.839953 1.701449 3.068291 5.032292 7.617747 11.144209
2025-03-09 2.527952e-01 0.769611 1.688890 3.211426 5.464183 8.491879 12.687155
2025-03-16 1.797827e-01 0.660853 1.591832 3.210507 5.683304 9.080889 13.866958
2025-03-23 1.474984e-01 0.627673 1.616342 3.394627 6.170620 10.040921 15.551824
2025-03-30 1.149498e-01 0.579704 1.604193 3.513902 6.561869 10.874390 17.081074
2025-04-06 8.401527e-02 0.519758 1.557339 3.567335 6.850759 11.567399 18.430053
2025-04-13 5.426536e-02 0.442130 1.458734 3.519334 6.975847 12.026122 19.463206
2025-04-20 3.807055e-02 0.400512 1.431105 3.597495 7.307408 12.798885 20.959736
2025-04-27 2.565958e-02 0.361620 1.401592 3.668136 7.628005 13.562546 22.457970
2025-05-04 1.263211e-02 0.295211 1.289695 3.571506 7.669703 13.915620 23.386286
2025-05-11 5.147078e-03 0.238538 1.184921 3.474431 7.700807 14.248240 24.286577
2025-05-18 2.106307e-03 0.205276 1.134297 3.478702 7.899042 14.832389 25.550992
2025-05-25 4.295980e-04 0.166390 1.052853 3.408232 7.962058 15.208657 26.519214
2025-06-01 1.637737e-04 0.160033 1.075571 3.562802 8.422512 16.202340 28.393081
2025-06-08 3.521131e-06 0.136433 1.030382 3.562295 8.606162 16.769317 29.652119
2025-06-15 1.359290e-08 0.136174 1.071764 3.759930 9.150337 17.906300 31.757504
2025-06-22 NaN 0.128672 1.082842 3.887802 9.570829 18.855085 33.596491
2025-06-29 NaN 0.115098 1.064641 3.945061 9.863015 19.605446 35.150853